Published: Sun, October 21, 2018
Research | By Sheri Schwartz

NOAA Winter Outlook: Warmer for Much of the United States

NOAA Winter Outlook: Warmer for Much of the United States

Even so, the NOAA forecast indicates "equal chances" of above-, normal or below-normal temperatures in this zone.

While this upcoming winter isn't expected to be exactly the same as four years ago, this most recent forecast from the Climate Prediction Center certainly gives us a better idea, as well as extra time to prepare for what is likely to come between the months of December and February.

No part of the United States is expected to have below-average temperatures, according to the outlook.

The only part of the country that can expect typical winter temperatures will likely be in the Southeast, spanning the states you see below that are colored white, from Florida to OH and as far west as Arkansas.

When it comes to the heat, the biggest factors leading to this year's prediction is the 70 to 75 percent chance of an El Nino developing over the Pacific ocean, blowing warm winds from the west. In the U.S. Winter Outlook for December through February, above-average temperatures are most likely across the northern and western U.S., Alaska and Hawaii.

The same NOAA report expects ME to have about an average winter in terms of precipitation. No place in the expected to experience cooler-than-average temperatures, according to NOAA.

If NOAA's outlook holds true and much of the nation is milder than normal, it will mark the fourth straight warmer-than-normal winter for the Lower 48.

It also said that wetter-than-average conditions are likely across the southern part of the US, and up into the Mid-Atlantic.

-Wetter-than-average conditions are favored across the southern tier of the US, and up into the Mid-Atlantic. The center has given much of the Southern United States, from the Gulf of Mexico to the Chesapeake Bay, a clear chance of a wetter winter, with pockets of drought around the Dakotas and the Great Lakes.

Wetter conditions are in store for much of the southern USA, up into the mid-Atlantic while drier conditions are likely for the northern Rockies, Northern Plains, northern Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. Snow forecasts are generally not easily predicated more than a week in advance.

For those looking for snowfall projections, you won't find those in NOAA's winter outlook. The next update will be available on November 15.

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